2011 Draft by Similarity Player Comparisons
Player comparisons are probably as old as the NBA Draft. As we seek to understand how players will translate to the NBA, using the experience of players with similar skills is helpful. Yet the danger is that subjective comparisons will be colored by irrelevant factors. Our similarity scores take a different approach, using NCAA statistical performance adjusted both for the transition from college to the pros and strength of schedule. Players are compared in 13 categories, including height and weight, to their predecessors within six months of the same age at the time they were drafted. ( See here for more details on the process .)
Going by a single player comparison can be dangerous. Most players have a group of comparables that are diverse in terms of their NBA success. Using age at the time the player is drafted limits the pool of possible comparisons, as does the fact that our database goes back only to 2000 and is not complete until 2006 or so. (Before that, it was difficult to track down team statistics to adjust for pace.) If the next Michael Jordan really was in this draft, we wouldn't be able to make the comparison. So don't read more into these comparisons than is really there, especially in cases where the similarity score is low. (They're scored out of 100, with 95 indicating a decent match and 90 generally the cutoff for any real similarity.) Still, these comparisons are fun and can be enlightening at times.
Players are ranked by their current spot in DraftExpress' mock draft . A handful of players from overseas, most notably Davis Bertans, are not listed because of insufficient stats.
1 Kyrie Irving Duke PG Derrick Rose 95.7 2 Derrick Williams ArizonaIn the case of Vesely, and all the other international prospects, these calculations are based on standard SCHOENE similarity scores using the NBA player database and translated European stats. In this case, the numbers don't really see Vesely as a small forward; all his comparisons are to big men, most of them centers. His poor free throw shooting is part of the explanation.
7 Jimmer Fredette Brigham Young PG Kris Humphries 97.1 23 Iman Shumpert Georgia Tech PG Ronnie Brewer 97.7 24 Kyle Singler Duke SF Brian Cook 95.6 25 Tyler Honeycutt UCLA SF Earl Clark 95.94.1 The Sound - News
C Sean Williams 94.1 15 Marshon Brooks Providence SG Desmond Mason 97.7 16 Nikola Vucevic USC PF Troy Murphy 96.7 17 Markieff Morris Kansas PF DJ White 96.3 This comparison might sound negative in some quarters, but I'm a believer White can play.
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